CovItaly / ReproductionNumber

Estimates of COVID-19 R_t in Real-Time.

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Estimating R_t in Real-Time

The following notebooks by Michele Tizzoni reproduce the estimate of the time-varying reproductive number for Italy:

NB: The method is based on some strong assumptions. However, the results are pretty much in line with those, more statistically solid, reported by Sam Abbott here.

Confirmed cases by date of symptoms onset

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Estimates of COVID-19 R_t in Real-Time.

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