arnavgrg / covid19-forecasting

Predicting cumulative Covid19 confirmed cases and deaths for each state in the US for up to a month in the future, with focus on September 2020 and December 2020.

covid19-prediction

Virtual Environment Setup

• python3 -m pip install --user virtualenv
• python3 -m venv <env_name>
• source <env_name>/bin/activate
• pip3 install -r requirements.txt

Models Considered

• Multivariate
  • Linear Regression
  • Polynomial Regression
  • Decision Trees/Random Forest
  • Multilayer Perceptron
• Univariate
  • Simple Exponential Smoothing
  • Exponential Smoothing / HoltsWinter
  • Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
  • Vector Autoregression (VAR)