we consider the problem of thermostatically controlled load (TCL) control through dynamic electricity prices, under partial observability of the environment and uncertainty of the control response. The problem is formulated as a Markov decision process where an agent must find a near-optimal pricing scheme using partial observations of the state and action. We propose a long-short-term memory (LSTM) network to learn the individual behaviors of TCL units. We use the aggregated information to predict the response of the TCL cluster to a pricing policy. We use this prediction model in a genetic algorithm to find the best prices in terms of profit maximization in an energy arbitrage operation. The simulation results show that the proposed method offers a profit equal to 96% of the theoretical optimal solution.
