peterhurford

langchain

🦜🔗 Build context-aware reasoning applications

BIG-bench

Beyond the Imitation Game collaborative benchmark for measuring and extrapolating the capabilities of language models

msgspec

A fast serialization and validation library, with builtin support for JSON, MessagePack, YAML, and TOML

GPBoost

Combining tree-boosting with Gaussian process and mixed effects models

apps

APPS: Automated Programming Progress Standard (NeurIPS 2021)

Denoise-Transformer-AutoEncoder

microCOVID

Estimating the COVID risk of ordinary activities

sorobn

🧮 Bayesian networks in Python

openai-server

OpenAI API webserver

year-in-search-trends

Visualization of search interest over time

anonymizer

Anonymize data containing Personally Identifiable Information (PII) in R

squigglepy

Squiggle programming language for intuitive probabilistic estimation features in Python

spaced-inbox

A minimal spaced writing inbox

pymetalog

Public repo for the pymetalog project

midterms-22

A dynamic Bayesian model to forecast the 2022 U.S. midterm elections

optimal-scoring

This git repository outlines three scoring rules that I believe might serve current forecasting platforms better than current alternatives. It stems from my frustrations with current scoring rules and with the Keynesian Beauty Contest method used in Karger et al. to resolve questions which may otherwise seem unresolvable

polling-errors

Replication materials for "Disentangling Bias and Variance in Election Polls"

RCP-Poll-Scraper

Scrape realclearpolitics.com for polling information.

fundraising_forecast

Monte Carlo simulation of expected fundraising by donor, using distributions

public_moral_weight_and_sentience

Public version of Rethink Priorities' Moral Weight Project welfare range and sentience estimates

metrics_discussion

Notes and writings on econometrics to weave into content. Formatted 'bookdown'.

OpenModelProject

The Open Model Project website.

survey_dud_detector

Apply methods to detect bad responses in surveys

surveyweights

Apply Census weighting to survey data

rvtools

My best tools for conveniently working with SciPy probability distributions

ea_forum

Scraping EA Forum

rp_2020_benchmarking_poll

RP 2020 Benchmarking poll and analysis

SelzerSilver

Code to update the Selzer+Silver Model

SquigglyPy

dj-longread

Read the internet... on the internet