mickbransfield / predictit_538_odds

Compare PredictIt shares, betting odds, 538 models, Economist models, and polling in the 2020 U.S. Presidential election.

Introduction

Compare PredictIt shares, betting odds, 538 models, Economist models, and 538 polling in the 2020 U.S. Presidential election.

A simple python script that compares by state:

• The latest general election polling used by 538
• 538 presidential election forecast
• The Economist presidential election forecast
• Current PredictIt share prices
• The implied probabilities of gambling odds

Online betting sites' implied probabilities are visualized here.

To run this script, first install the necessary libraries via pip:

pip install numpy pandas requests urllib3