mamomen1996 / R_CS_11

TimeSeries Analysis in R

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R_CS_11

TimeSeries Analysis in R

Case-Study Title: Online retail E-Commerce platform demand prediction (TimeSeries forecasting)

Data Analysis methodology: CRISP-DM

Dataset: American Retail company's Sales Timeseries data from 03/01/2014 to 30/12/2017

Case Goal: Prediction of total monthly revenue in 2017 based-on previous data of the company (sales prediction: cutomers demand prediction) to do annual budget planning

Monthly Total Sales and its Categories line chart CS_11_1

Seasonal plot of Furniture Sales CS_11_2

Polar Seasonal plot of Furniture Sales CS_11_3

Seasonal Subseries plot of Furniture Sales CS_11_4

Auto-correlation plot of Furniture Sales CS_11_5

Partial-Autocorrelation plot of Furniture Sales CS_11_6

Monthly Furniture Sales Trend (Moving-Average 12) CS_11_7

Additive Decomposition of Furniture Sales Timeseries CS_11_8

Multiplicative Decomposition of Furniture Sales Timeseries CS_11_9

STL Decomposition of Furniture Sales Timeseries CS_11_10

Regression Method predictions of next-12 months Furniture Sales CS_11_11

Holt-Winters Method (Exponential Smoothing) prediction residuals of Furniture Sales train data CS_11_12

Holt-Winters Method (Exponential Smoothing) predictions of next-12 months Furniture Sales CS_11_13

ARIMA Method predictions of next-12 months Furniture Sales CS_11_14