jschoeley / bhump-paa24

Presentation given at PAA 2024 in Columbus, USA.

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The “birth hump” – A shape decomposition of perinatal excess mortality

Jonas Schöley & Maxi Kniffka

Presentation given at PAA 2024 in Columbus, USA.

We characterize the mortality pattern over gestational age for a cohort of fetuses as they pass the transition of birth. This transition leaves a mark on the mortality trajectory visible as a "birth-hump" – a temporary increase in the risk of either fetal or perinatal death centered around an age of 38 weeks of gestation. Using competing risks survival analysis, we exploit this pattern to quantify the risk of death contributed by the birth transition itself.

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Presentation given at PAA 2024 in Columbus, USA.