helenaEH / country_risk

Determining crisis indicators

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Country Risk

Determining crisis indicators based on historic crisis data for 12 emerging markets between 1993 - 2002 using Random Forest

Feature Explanations:

  • CRISIS - whether country is in crisis the observable year
  • PCRISIS1 - whether country is in crises the next year (t+1)
  • ROAA - return on average assets
  • NPLGROSSLOANS - non-performing loans (sovereign)
  • PER - price-to-earnings ratio
  • CREDITGDP - credit-to-GDP
  • GDPG - GDP growth
  • GFGFG - investment growth (gross fixed capital formation)
  • GFCFGDP - investment-to-GDP ratio
  • HFCEG - household consumption growth
  • HFCEGDP - household consumption growth to GDP ratio
  • CAGDP - current account-to=GDP ratio
  • INFL - inflation
  • REALRATE - real interest rate
  • DEPRATE - deposit rate

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Determining crisis indicators


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