2019-nCoV-Fit
SIR and SEIR model fitting for 2019-nCoV.
Model and Method
SIR model and SEIR model. Pleas search on internet for more details of these infectious disease models.
Fitting method: Self defined grid search method to find all minimum value. See the grid_search function in fit.py for details.
Data
Data source: https://3g.dxy.cn/newh5/view/pneumonia
Result
y axis:people
x axis:days (origin point is 2020-12-8)
2020-01-25-01:01
SIR model fittng:
2020-01-25-23:53
SIR model fittng:
高预测:
低预测:
2020-01-25-10:28
SIR model fittng:
高预测:
中预测:
低预测:
2020-01-25-02:07
SIR model fittng:
2020-01-24-11:57
SIR model fittng: