Create a new Scratch Org
sfdx force:org:create -a rtTest -f ./config/project-scratch-def.json
Deploy to Account to Enable History Tracking
sfdx force:mdapi:deploy -u rtTest -d pre-test -w 15
Deploy to Account again to add a Record Type
sfdx force:mdapi:deploy -u rtTest -d test -w 15
Results in the error
=== Component Failures [1]
TYPE FILE NAME PROBLEM
───── ─────────────────────────── ─────── ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Error test/objects/Account.object Account Custom Field Definition ID: bad value for restricted picklist field: RecordType
Once you confirm the problem occurs then you can deploy test-fix-1 and test-fix-2 which breaks up the deployments to add the Record Type in a deployment before trying to add history tracking for it.
Deploy to Account again to add a Record Type
sfdx force:mdapi:deploy -u rtTest -d test-fix-1 -w 15
Deploy to Account again to add a Record Type
sfdx force:mdapi:deploy -u rtTest -d test-fix-2 -w 15
Which has the same outcome as what should happen if the test deployment were successful.