XiaoruiZhu / AdpQMLE

Adaptive Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of GARCH models

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AdpQMLE

This package is related to the paper titled "Adaptive Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of GARCH models with student's t Likelihood".

Abstract: This paper proposes an adaptive quasi-maximum likelihood estimation when forecasting the volatility of financial data with the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model. When the distribution of volatility data is unspecified or heavy-tailed, we worked out adaptive quasi-maximum likelihood estimation based on data by using the scale parameter ηf to identify the discrepancy between wrongly specified innovation density and the true innovation density. With only a few assumptions, this adaptive approach is consistent and asymptotically normal. Moreover, it gains better efficiency under the condition that innovation error is heavy-tailed. Finally, simulation studies and an application show its advantage.

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Adaptive Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of GARCH models

License:MIT License


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