SheperoMah / MCM-distribution-forecasting

Markov-chain Mixture Distribution forecasting model

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MCM distribution forecasting

MCM.py is a collection of functions for the Markov-chain Mixture Distribution model for forecasting developed by
Dr. Joakim Munkhammar, Ph.D., Uppsala University 2019. Mahmoud Shepero at Uppsala University is also acknowledged as assisting in the code development.

The model was published in:

[1] J. Munkhammar, J. Widén, D. W. van der Meer, Probabilistic forecasting of high-resolution clear-sky index time-series using a Markov-chain mixture distribution model, Solar Energy vol. 184, pp. 688-695, 2019.

Any academic or educational use of the model should cite [1], for corporate use, contact Joakim Munkhammar at joakim.munkhammar@angstrom.uu.se

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Markov-chain Mixture Distribution forecasting model


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