RedRise / demo-circadian-effect

Geek Repo:Geek Repo

Github PK Tool:Github PK Tool

CIRCADIAN EFFECT ON ETH/USDC

Original motivation comes from this analysis on the american stock index SP500:

All the SP500's gains have occured outside regular trading hours (i.e. from Close to Open)

SP500

When running some analysis on the ETH/USDC pair, we find the opposite (performing from open to close, steady from close to open). Keep in mind that timezone is EST.

DAY NIGHT

But no real stability can be demonstrated. Let's look at sharpe ratios, day vs. night, for various combinations of closing and opening hours:

Sharpe

For a slightly different combination of closing hour (14h) and day length (6h), we find a more mitigated result. Some dynamics at open and close may explain this.

DAY NIGHT

Another interesting view : Mean volume of traded ETH by hour of day (EST). We find a peek of activity at open (between 9am and 11am). Interestingly, the bottom of activity is at closing time (4pm).

Volume

About


Languages

Language:Python 100.0%