Pill-GZ / SpEarthquake

Modelling earthquakes with spatial point process

SpEarthquake

This is the repo for Biostat 696 project on modelling earthquakes with spatial point process

Goals

Applying techniques in spatial statistics to the analysis of Seismic activity data to

1. Jointly estimate the number of events, and the magnitude of earthquakes over space.
2. Enable the calculation of probability of earthquake larger than given magnitude within selected distance.
3. Create an interactive tool to implement the calculation

Approaches

1. parametric estimation
2. non-parametric: kernel estimation

Co-variates

1. plate tectonics: distance to plate boundaries

Plate boundaries in ARCGIS https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=f155b76c13c84f62864446847f1ae652

2. fracking: distance to fracking sites

location of drilling sites in PA: https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/DataExports/DataExports.aspx

Hydraulic Fracturing and Induced Seismicity Study: http://energy.usgs.gov/OilGas/UnconventionalOilGas/HydraulicFracturing.aspx#3892416-data

Data on Hydraulic Fracturing: http://pubs.usgs.gov/ds/0868/

Shapefiles for Oil Shales: http://energy.usgs.gov/OilGas/UnconventionalOilGas/OilShale/OilShaleDataDownload.aspx

A Shale Oil Study site: http://shalebubble.org/dbd-map/

Class 2 well counts by state: http://projects.propublica.org/graphics/underground-injection-wells

Oklahoma Class II Injection Wells: http://www.arcgis.com/home/webmap/viewer.html?layers=505a96ebfeac44c0951dcd1f773b970b&useExisting=1

3. volanic activities: distance to active/inactive volcanoes

Science!

1. What causes earthquakes: https://www2.usgs.gov/faq/categories/9827/3343
2. Man-made earthquakes and prevention: https://www2.usgs.gov/faq/categories/9827/3273
3. Deep well injection induced earthquakes: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/research/induced/myths.php
4. Earthquakes induced by fluid injection: https://www2.usgs.gov/faq/taxonomy/term/9833