NikitaGordia / BoxOfficePredictions

Predict movies overall worldwide box office revenue

Box Office Predictions (base on TMDB)

Problem:

In this competition, you're presented with metadata on over 7,000 past films from The Movie Database to try and predict their overall worldwide box office revenue. Data points provided include cast, crew, plot keywords, budget, posters, release dates, languages, production companies, and countries. You can collect other publicly available data to use in your model predictions, but in the spirit of this competition, use only data that would have been available before a movie's release.

Work process:

Notebooks

1. data_analysis.ipynb

2. feature_engineering.ipynb

Baseline

• drop:

belongs_to_collection
genres
homepage
imdb_id
original_title
overview
poster_path
production_companies
production_countries
spoken_languages
status
tagline
title
Keywords
cast
crew

• parse release_date for a month, day and year

Sketch ideas

log transform

• revenue

• budget

• popularity

outliers handling

• runtime

• revenue

• budget

• popularity

scaling

• budget

• revenue

one-hot encoding

• genres

• spoken_languages

• production_companies

• belongs_to_collection

• production_countries

• Keywords

• cast (actor name)

• crew (department + name)

group_by statistics

• cast (actor name)

• genres

• crew (department + name)

• spoken_languages

• production_companies

• belongs_to_collection

• production_countries

• Keywords

NLP (vectorize the most popular words)

• tagline

• title

• overview

Other

• is not null homepage

• parse homepage for domain, https...

Feed

1. (2.972, 83%) baseline
2. (2.329, 58%) log transformed revenue
3. (2.329, 58%) log transformed budget, popularity
4. (2.325, 58%) clear outliers for popularity