JestonBlu / Unemployment

Masters Project: Forecasting Unemployment

Forecasting US Unemployment

Reproducible Research

All of the findings, models, and graphs discussed in our writeup can be reproduced using scripts from this repository. The following are a few guidelines to make sure you can run our code with minimal effort:

• Clone or download the project to your desktop, unzip if neccesary
• Within R, set the working directory to setwd("stat626_project location")
• Load the seasonally adjusted dataset load("Data/Data_Prep.rda")
• RScripts/All_Final_Models.R creates the ARIMA and VAR models
• RScripts/Preso_Plots.R creates all of the plots used in the write up.

Project Directory

• Data:
• Literature:
• Plots:
  • Preso_Plots:
  • Data_Exploration:
• RScripts:
  • Archives:
• Writeups:

Team Members and Responsibilities

Team Members	Responsibilities
Joseph Blubaugh:	Plots, Data Prep, Code Management, Modeling
Alison Shelton:	Write-up, Plot Revision, LaTeX Management, Literature
Sean Roberson:	Presenter, Talking Points, Literature
Travis Lilley:	Model Diagnostics, Statistical Tests, Modeling, Abstract
Akarshan Puri:	Modeling and Diagnostics
Bo pang:	Modeling and Diagnostics