A collection of scripts to analyze game data and payouts for BC.Game's "Crash" game.
analyze.php- A script to take in a range of bet amounts and payouts, select the highest-yield combination of bet and payout, and display simulation results on standard output.analyze.php- A script to take in a range of bet amounts and payouts, select the highest-yield combination of bet and payout, and display simulation results on standard output in CSV format.analyze_cdf.php- A script to analyze the probability that a particular payout will result in a win.Stop-Loss Martingale.js- An "advanced" BC.Game JavaScript file for implementing a variation on Martingale that resets to the base bet upon reaching a threshold maximum bet amount. The intent of this script was to avoid a Martingale strategy that's starting out with bets of $0.005 suddenly placing a bet for $81.92 after 14 consecutive losses. In reality, though this can prevent a catastrophic bankruptcy in the short term, limiting the loss just serves to ensure the player loses money over time and will still eventually become bankrupt.
This repo includes data collected from "Crash" games 4905002 through 4923003, with some unfortunate gaps. The data was collected manually (via manual copy & paste) from the BC.Game interface, so gaps were the result of waiting too long to grab the next set of data.
Feel free to grab your own data. The process followed was:
- Open a new Excel workbook.
- In Crash, click the "Results" tab at the bottom of the page.
- Select the entire table (make sure it's all selected or you'll only end up with jumbled text).
- Paste the table you copied into Excel in the first empty row, using the "Match Destination Formatting" function to eliminate the unwanted HTML output.
- Click "Next" in the "Results" table to go the next page of 20 results.
- (If necessary) Re-select the table, if it is not already selected. (If you select the table just right, Edge/Chrome won't clear your selection when the result data changes).
- Repeat steps 4-6 until you've captured all 2,000 results.
- Back in Excel, use the Sort function to sort from lowest to highest by Game ID.
- Delete the third column, which usually just contains the text "Verify".
- Use the "Remove Duplicates" feature to remove any values that may be duplicated. (This removes multiple instances of the "Game ID", "Result", and "Hash" heading, as well as any numbers that you copied more than once because BC.Game added results to the table while you were copying).
- Eliminate all but the first copy of the "Game ID", "Result", and "Hash" heading. This should only be in the very first row.
- Save the file in CSV format.
Author is not responsible for lost winnings. YMMV. Despite these scripts indicating that pretty much any payouts > $10 should work long term, I have personally lost about $90 (gained $175, lost $250, lost $15) while writing and using these tools to try to make a profit. The problem with trying to model something based on luck is that a strategy that seems to work well in the short term is terrible long term (local maxima), while many strategies that work well in the long term cause devastating losses in the short term (global maxima). Remember that in the end, the house always wins.
If you or someone you love is hooked on gambling, there is help. See: https://www.begambleaware.org/
Tips are welcome if you find the data or scripts in this project useful.
Ethereum: 0x3143C8376E101BBf027246d1D702bAe46426e513