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zalandoresearch / CRISP

A probabilistic graphical model for COVID-19 infection spread through a population based on mutual contacts between pairs of individuals across time as well as test outcomes The C++/Python implementation enables full inference at the scale of millions of contacts between thousands of individuals.

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one-off mistake initialising GibbsPIS and LBP

rvollgraf opened this issue · comments

commented

reported by @rherbrich74:

There must be a one-off mistake in terms of the time indices between Gibbs/fwd-sampling and LBP. See here for a marginal plot of the test_gibbs_sampler.py for only forward sampling and LBP (forward mode) with no contacts and no tests. The curves are shifted by one (this is for patient-zero=TRUE)
image