Jay Ulfelder's repositories
dart-throwing-chimp
Code and data for selected posts on my Dart-Throwing Chimp blog and other work on political instability and forecasting.
democracy-measurement-model
Replication materials for Bayesian measurement error model of dichotomous measures of democracy.
earlywarningproject-statrisk-replication
R scripts and data for replicating (and, with some modification, updating) statistical assessments of risks of state-led mass-killing onset for the Early Warning Project.
national-security-strategy
Archive of plain-text versions of US National Security Strategy documents.
cpg-statrisk-2014
R scripts for generating statistical forecasts of onsets of state-led mass killing episodes
nonviolent-uprisings-replication
Replication materials for paper with Erica Chenoweth on nonviolent uprisings
cpg-monitoring
Code for computer-assisted monitoring system
earlywarningproject-statrisk-2014
Code and access to data to replicate statistical forecasts of new state-led mass killing episodes for 2014.
tscs-utilities
Workhorse scripts for making and shaping country-year TSCS data sets in R
china-strike-plots
Visualizing strike activity in China
coups-and-growth
Code and data for analysis of effects of coups on GDP
cpg-statrisk
Code and data for multimodel ensemble approach to statistical risk assessments of mass killing onset
football-forecasts-2015
2015 NFL forecasts app
practice-projects
Filing cabinet for data-science practice projects