trekhleb / covid-19

šŸ“ˆ Coronavirus (COVID-19) dashboard to show the dynamics of Š”oronavirus distribution per country

Home Page:https://trekhleb.dev/covid-19/

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Estimate total active infections from deaths & recoveries

kylegrover opened this issue Ā· comments

This would require some assumptions about case fatality rate and average time from infection to case resolution. A good starting point might be 1% CFR, 1 week from infection to confirmation, 2 weeks from confirmation to resolution - ie estimated infections 21 days ago = deaths today * 100. Maybe we could also provide sliders to see how those assumptions impact the graph.