platers / predictit_538_odds

Comparing PredictIt shares, betting odds, and 538 polling

Introduction

Compare PredictIt shares, betting odds, 538 models, Economist models, and 538 polling in the 2020 U.S. Presidential election.

A simple python script that compares by state:

• The latest general election polling used by 538
• 538 presidential election forecast
• The Econmist presidential election forecast
• Current PredictIt share prices
• The implied probabilities of gambling odds

To run this script, first install the necessary libraries via pip:

pip install requests pandas numpy datetime