k-sys / covid-19

A collection of work related to COVID-19

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Other real-time tracking of R_t

smbartell opened this issue · comments

It's really great to see someone tackling this for the US, but there is another project tracking R_t in real time using Bayesian updating, in Europe: https://mrc-ide.github.io/covid19estimates/#/ Their model is more structured, but that has pros and cons. I really like that your model is less constrained with regard to how R_t changes over time, as behavior can change rapidly as people become more cautious, start wearing masks, etc. But you might get some other ideas about modeling from their approach.

commented

Thank you!