This repository records the experiments and exploration of AFL data for the purposes of finding an edge in the market betting on Betfair.
Betfair have provided $1,000 to bet in the market for a number of people including me. This is just a fun weekend endevour, if we can return some money then great! It may be difficult though...
- intital_tips: Provides a simple strategy using prediction from other predictive models
- backtest_squiggle: Goes through the process of testing over the 2017 & 2018 seasons for our simple approach, exploring what the distribution of our payoffs will be
- Build a simple model using log reg for the line market
- Build a process for relative score predictions and repeat simulations
- Collect Twitter data for sentiment analysis (as something different)