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ihmeuw-msca / CurveFit

Generic curve fitting package with nonlinear mixed effects model

Home Page:https://ihmeuw-msca.github.io/CurveFit/

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Question about est_infections

lematt1991 opened this issue · comments

commented

Hello, I have a quick question about the forecasts available here. The est_infections_* columns seem to be very high. For example, today's forecast shows 14,951 new cases for 2020-05-05 in New York. I'm assuming this corresponds to the total number of cases and not just the reported or confirmed cases reported by the state. Asking because the NYS DOH reports 2,239 new cases. If these numbers do in fact correspond to the total number of new cases (reported and un-reported), is there any way to validate the results?

Thanks!

commented

Hi @lematt1991 thank you for your patience in our delayed response. Please contact covid19@healthdata.org for questions about the results. Also please note that this is no longer being used for IHME COVID-19 forecasting, more information in the README.