getguesstimate / guesstimate-app

Create Fermi Estimates and Perform Monte Carlo Estimates

Home Page:http://getguesstimate.com/

Geek Repo:Geek Repo

Github PK Tool:Github PK Tool

Setting a probability from e.g., 0% to 4% results in some negative numbers in the sample.

agdfoster opened this issue · comments

If I set 0% to 4% as a probability input, with a normal distribution some of my samples will be negative, which can cause lots of impossible outcomes further down the chain.

I think this is basically just the software not intuiting that most of the time 0% is the absolute lowest number and the curve shouldn't be allowed to go beyond it.

Not sure if a quick fix would be to set 0.00 as the lowest value sample if a user inputs a percentage.

E.g., if user types 4% rather than 0.04, guesstimate interprets that as 0.04 but also sets the samples to have a minimum value of 0.00.

(current work around is to set a higher value lowest probability, but this is skewing my results.

+1 for a function that makes negative values impossible

You can use =filterLessThan(WAR,0) to filter all results less than 0. It's one of the few features not added to the documentation yet.